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Pacific Climate Futures Version 2 is a user-friendly, web-based tool, built upon the extensive analysis of global climate models from climate change in the Pacific. It has been designed to provide information and guidance in the generation of national climate projections and facilitate the generation of data for detailed impact and risk assessments.
Pacific Climate Futures lets you to explore the likelihood of future changes in temperature, rainfall, wind, sunshine, humidity and evaporation based on 20-year time periods around 2030, 2055 and 2090 under three greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. It provides national and some sub-national climate projections for East Timor and 14 Pacific countries: Cook Islands (two sub-regions), Federated States of Micronesia (two sub-regions), Fiji, Kiribati (three sub-regions), Marshall Islands (two sub-regions), Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea (two sub-regions), Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu.
- Relationship to other tools: The Pacific Climate Futures Data Portal receives historic data from the Pacific Climate Change Data Portal, allowing Pacific Climate Futures to produce application-ready future datasets.
The tool was developed initially by the Pacific Climate Change Science Program (PCCSP) and further refined by the Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning (PACCSAP) Science Program.
The Pacific Climate Change Data Portal is a user-friendly tool that allows the user to visualise historical climate data in the form of trends, running and long term averages. As the largest web based data source for the Pacific region this tool currently provides users access to more than 100 individual observation sites across the Pacific Islands and East Timor.
The website provides historical point-based data for climate observing sites across the Pacific. At present,climate variables available include temperatures, rainfall and Mean Sea-Level Pressure (MSLP), at daily, monthly, seasonal and annual timescales. Climate data is presented as time-series graphs and basic site information (metadata) is provided to assist users choose the most appropriate location.
- Relationship to other tools: The Pacific Climate Change Data Portal provides access to historic data which other tools such as Pacific Climate Futures Version 2 use to produce application-ready datasets.
The Pacific Climate Change Data portal was originally developed through the Pacific Climate Change Science Program (PCCSP, 2009-2011). Further developments took place through the Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Programme (PACCSAP).
The Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures / Coral Bleaching Tool provides seasonal forecasts of ocean temperature and coral bleaching risk. These forecasts are generated using the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA).
Available forecasts include sea surface temperature, hotspots and degree heating months. Both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts are available. More information about the Tool and how to use it can be found on the project page Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures/Coral Bleaching.
This information is critical to partner countries in planning coastal development and safeguarding agricultural, marine and water resources. Under climate change, ocean temperatures and the frequency of mass coral bleaching events are predicted to increase, highlighting the need for improved management of coral reefs of the Pacific Island nations and East Timor. The project aims to develop enhanced prototype seasonal coral bleaching risk prediction products for the Western Pacific, an improved understanding of climate drivers of extreme ocean temperatures, and to conduct relevant in-country training.
- Relationship to other tools: The Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures / Coral Bleaching Tool is linked to the Seasonal Prediction of Sea Level Anomalies in the Western Pacific tool. Forecast outlooks for both tools are generated via the POAMA seasonal prediction model. This tool is accessible to interested users who apply to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology to use the tool. Meteorological agencies from PACCSAP partner countries in the Pacific are the primary users of this tool.