BUSAN, 24 November 2017 – The synthesis of the latest model forecasts for December 2017 to May 2018 (DJFMAM) from the APEC Climate Center (APCC), located in Busan, South Korea, indicates a below normal temperature anomaly across the tropical Pacific with a weak negative El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase. Above normal temperatures are expected to prevail over all of Melanesia and the whole of Micronesia and Polynesia, except in the equatorial belt for the whole forecast period. For the same period, above and below normal rainfall is probable for off-equatorial Micronesia and Polynesia, and the equatorial belt of Micronesia, respectively. Near normal rainfall is probable for equatorial Polynesia for DJF 2017/18.
APEC Climate Centre